Archive for December, 2015

16 December 2015

Tuesday, December 15th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Monetary Policy

US – Next Rate Hike: Mortgages
US – ‘Revolving Door Helps Big Banks’ Muscle Out Fannie and Freddie’
El Niño – Sugar Shortage Drives Bullish Bets to Seven-Year High


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Dec: Markit PMI dips; 52.5 from 52.6 / m *

EZ – Dec: Markit PMI edged down; 54.0 from 54.2 / FT / WSJ / B *

US – Nov: Industrial Production Down; -0.6% from -0.4% / WSJ

US – Dec: Housing starts rebound; +10.5% from -12.0% / R / AP / WSJ


MARKETS

Currencies – Calm frays as Fed threatens another storm of volatility B *


ECONOMICS

US – Boost From Oil-Price Drop Is Elusive WSJ

US – Credit Card Debt Continues to Swell B *

US – Fed Report Says Household Net Worth Declined by $1.2t WSJ *

US – Middle Class Is No Longer the Majority wsj *

US – Summers: We might be facing a world of high volatility wapo *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Poised to Mark the End of an Era WSJ *

Fed – Ghost of September’s Delay Haunt Decision B * *

Fed – Risks New Distortions WSJ *

Fed – Markets make decision harder FT *

Fed – How Yellen intends to raise rates FT * *

Fed – What Yellen Will Be Watching to See If Liftoff Worked B * *

Fed – Economists forecast multiple rate rises next year FT / AP * *

Fed – Officials Worry Rates Will Go Up, Only to Come Back Down WSJ *

Fed – It’s the trajectory that counts FT * *

Fed – Steers for calmer waters FT * *

Fed – The Mystery of Missing Inflation WSJ *

Fed – A Brief History of U.S. Inflation Since 1775 wsj *

Fed – The Bizarre Theory That Says Increases Will Fuel Inflation B *

Fed – US industrial heartland frets as rate rise looms FT *

Fed – It may be too late already for the ECB divergence trade B / NYT *

Fed – Eastern Europe could cushion blow of rate rise FT *

Fed – Impact on China B * *

Fed – Lift-off is Mexico’s rate rise dilemma FT

Fed – EMs Not in Step WSJ *

Fed – Jittery EMs await policy fallout FT / FT * * *

Fed – Rupee, yen may be Asian currencies most insulated B *


FINANCE

US – Banks Prep for Trading Influx, as Rate Rise Looms WSJ

US – Banks prepare for assault from online rivals FT


REAL ESTATE

US – What’s In Store For Homebuilders As Rate Hike Looms? IBD

US – First time home buyers set for rate rise bruising FT *

US – Next Rate Hike: Mortgages B * *

US – ‘Revolving Door Helps Big Banks’ Muscle Out Fannie and Freddie’ NYT

US – Cities work to create middle class housing WSJ *

US – Rental Prices Less Affordable B * *

US – Commercial Real-Estate Prices Soar WSJ *

US – Chinese Rich Stashing Cash in Hotels and Strip Malls WSJ


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

El Niño – Cools Africa’s Economic Engine WSJ *

El Niño – Could spell a bad year for maple syrup CP

El Niño – Sugar Shortage Drives Bullish Bets to Seven-Year High B *

El Niño – Could be a boon or a blow to CA vineyards LAT


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The professional trajectories of the original Star Wars cast e *


15 December 2015

Monday, December 14th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Carbon

Bonds – Junk market tests nervous investors
SK – Chipping away at country’s pillars
Uber – Why Giant Can’t Conquer The Planet (Yet)


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Germany – Dec: ZEW investor sentiment robust; 16.1 from 10.4 / AFP

US – Nov: Core inflation creeps higher; +0.2% from +0.2% / R / WSJ / AP

US – Dec: NAHB Home-Builder Confidence Slips; 61 from 62 / WSJ


MARKETS

Bonds – Junk Selloff Intensifies WSJ *

Bonds – Junk market tests nervous investors FT * *

Bonds – It really has been a bad year for high yield ft *


ECONOMICS

SK – To Offer ‘Panda Bonds’ in China Onshore Markets WSJ

SK – Chipping away at country’s pillars N * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

NK – Pyongyang says it has developed hydrogen bomb FT / NYT


MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

SK – Leader Pushes to Make Firing Easier WSJ *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH

Uber – Drivers win union ‘breakthrough’ FT

Uber – Why Giant Can’t Conquer The Planet (Yet) Forbes *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Potash – Belarus Wildcard Shaking Up the Global Market WSJ

Sugar – India Plans to Release Millions of Tons of Onto Markets WSJ

Cotton – Piling Up at Warehouses Around the World B *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Carbon – Big polluters see no short-term change FT / WSJ / NYT / AP / B

Carbon – Obstacles emerge within hours FT * *

Carbon – James Hansen calls Paris talks ‘a fraud’ G / nyt

Carbon – Agreement Hinges on Countries Making Painful Decisions WSJ *

Carbon – UK ministers confident of meeting goals with no extra policies FT

Carbon – Fabius lauded for successful conclusion FT / AFP *

Carbon – China’s Slowdown Aided Negotiators WSJ *

Carbon – China’s Pledges Undercut by Boom in Coal Projects Abroad NYT

Carbon – New research points to falling emissions FT / NYT / AP / e * * *

Carbon – Business seeks global pricing FT *

Carbon – The IMF Is Pushing for Taxes, But at What Price? wsj * *

Carbon – India offers to cut coal use FT *

Carbon – What G20 Countries Are Pledging B *

Carbon – Widodo enters firefight to damp climate censure FT *

Carbon – Out-of-Bounds CO2 Clouds Emissions Tallying WSJ / NYT *

Carbon – Online footprint trackers flourish FT

Carbon – US Tax Debate Brings Together Unusual Allies WSJ *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

How many calories you would burn walking between NYC subway stations motw *


14 December 2015

Friday, December 11th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Emerging Markets



MAJOR DATA POINTS



MARKETS

EMs – Set to feel pain of US rate rise FT

EMs – Stoical ahead of expected US rate rise FT *


ECONOMICS

EMs – Recovery set to gather pace in 2016 FT * * * *

EMs – The problems of banks are more chronic than acute E * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

South Africa – Sprinting towards a bail-out E *

South Africa – Banks Extend Plunge as Zuma Turmoil Drives Up Costs B *

South Africa – Slips onto the junk chute B

South Africa – Finance minister’s sacking undermines fiscal reputation FT * *

South Africa – Zuma faces backlash over sacking of FM FT / FT * * *

South Africa – Gordhan back as finance minister FT


MONETARY POLICY

Africa – Fed Has Central Bankers in Tight Spot WSJ


FINANCE

Insurance – China valuations double those of banks as premiums soar FT / FT *

Insurance – Deals Gather Momentum Amid Cost Squeeze WSJ *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

HigherEd – Economists call for standards for federal aid WSJ *

HigherEd – Half Of People Who Went To College In The Recession Haven’t Graduated 538 *


SERVICES

Restaurants – Are Salad Days Over? IBD *

Restaurants – Spending on going out has uptick in November / b *


MANUFACTURING



TECH

Tech – 8 Trends to Watch in 2016 bhr

Tech – FANGs: FB AMZN NFLX & GOOG have gained $440b YTD / vc *

Tech – FANGs: Too Late to Invest? / bp *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

TPP – House Passes Trade Component, but Deal Still in Doubt WSJ

Doha – US calls time on negotiations FT


COMMODITIES

Chemicals – DuPont/Dow: Agree to Merge, Then Break Up WSJ / R / NYT / B *

Chemicals – Deal Cements Activists’ Rise WSJ *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH

Pharma – This pill may be a cure for radiation poisoning ted

Pharma – Dietary Supplements Lead to 20k ER Visits Yearly, Study Finds nyt / bp *


ENDNOTE

NZ picks Silver Fern for battle of the flags AFP *


11 December 2015

Thursday, December 10th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Streaming

Germany – Trade imbalance with EZ has largely disappeared
Beef – Fattest-Ever US Cattle Herd Signals End to Record Prices
Sands – Alberta Premier facing backlash over emissions cap


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Nov: Consumer spending gauge rises strongly; +0.6% from +0.2% / R / WSJ / B / AP

US – Dec: UMich Sentiment Ticks Higher; 91.8 from 91.3 / WSJ

US – Oct: Business inventories excluding autos rise; +0.4% from +0.5% / R

US – Nov: Producer prices increase, but trend weak; +0.3% from -0.4% / R / WSJ / AP


MARKETS

EU – Investors Keep Faith in Southern Bonds WSJ *

EU – Banks Ease Expectations of Euro-Dollar Parity WSJ *

EU – Covered bonds advance FT * *


ECONOMICS

EU – Tax and spend in differs after crisis FT * *

Germany – Trade imbalance with EZ has largely disappeared ft *

Denmark – Hit as tax-to-GDP ratio soars above 50% FT *

Ireland – Irish stay wary of Celtic Tiger 2.0 FT *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

France – Le Pen’s landslide sends shockwaves through France FT / WSJ *

France – National Front stuns Europe’s political elites FT *

France – Parties scramble to halt rise R / B / q *


MONETARY POLICY

ECB – Lowered stimulus ambitions after hitting opposition R / FT


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE

France – Paris real estate price per square meter pdep *


LABOR & EDUCATION

Spain – Job Growth Buoyed by Short-Term Contracts WSJ *


SERVICES

Streaming – Cord-Cutting Is Accelerating WSJ *

Streaming – Battle Over TV Rights WSJ *

Streaming – Hulu in spotlight as expansion beckons FT * * *

Streaming – The Netflix Problem: Which Media Company Will Solve It? WSJ *

Streaming – Netflix: Such a Thing as Too Much Information WSJ *

Streaming – Netflix accounts for a third of internet traffic q *

Streaming – Cable Still Able To Fend Off Netflix, Apple — For Now IBD

Streaming – TV Stock Mauling May Have Been Overdone WSJ *

Streaming – Alibaba’s Ma wants to be a media mogul too E *


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Beef – WTO Grants Canada, Mexico $1b in Tariffs Over US Labels WSJ / AFP

Beef – Fattest-Ever US Cattle Herd Signals End to Record Prices B *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Sands – Alberta Premier facing backlash over emissions cap FP

Sands – Secret deal spurred by NDP’s concern over liability FP *


HEALTH

Pharma – The Art of Setting a Drug Price WSJ *

Pharma – Gene in ‘last resort’ antibiotics resistance found in Denmark AFP *

Pharma – Antibiotic resistance in Europe / motw *


ENDNOTE

Population by latitude for US, Canada and EU am *


10 December 2015

Wednesday, December 9th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Currencies

Fed – Dollar debt puts Asian companies in spotlight ahead of meeting
Planes – Luxury Market Seen Slipping for First Time Since 2009
Chemicals – Japan partnering with overseas players


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Nov: Import prices dropped; -0.4% from -0.3% / WSJ

US – Week: Jobless claims at five-month high; +13k to 282k / R


MARKETS

Currencies – Commods: Pause from sell-off FT *

Currencies – Yuan: Set at Four-Year Low in ‘Stress Test’ WSJ

Currencies – Yuan: Weakening renminbi poses stability threat FT *

Currencies – Yen: Embraced by US Banks B * *

Currencies – Euro: Investors look to Fed for relief after ECB disappoints FT *

Currencies – Dollar: Chance that EMs can escape woes FT *

Currencies – Bitcoin: Creator Is Probably This Australian wired / gizmodo / ft *

Currencies – Bitcoin: Reported Founder’s Home Raided by Police WSJ / R / B

Currencies – Bitcoin: Central Bankers Explore Own Digital Cash WSJ


ECONOMICS



POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Plans to Signal Gradual Path WSJ *

Fed – Economists Are Convinced of Raise WSJ * *

Fed – Treasury bill yields climb as tighter policy looms FT *

Fed – Worrying signs as rate rise looms FT *

Fed – Dollar debt puts Asian companies in spotlight ahead of meeting N * *

Fed – Asian Firms Losing Appetite for Dollar Debt WSJ *

Fed – More Hawkish Next Year / bp *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Streaming – Spotify May Allow Artists to Withhold Music From Free Service WSJ

Streaming – Losses point to bleak future for music services FT * *

Streaming – Pandora: how to close the box FT *


MANUFACTURING

Planes – Luxury Market Seen Slipping for First Time Since 2009 B / G&M *

Planes – Private jet makers target North America as Europe flags G

Planes – Textron Bets on New Business Jet WSJ *

Planes – Aerion Supersonic Jet Advances B *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Chemicals – Dow Chemical Long Pursued DuPont WSJ *

Chemicals – Aim to pre-empt activists with megadeal FT * * * *

Chemicals – Merger Likely to Get Close Antitrust Scrutiny WSJ *

Chemicals – Eat yourself thin FT *

Chemicals – China’s Rising Supply, Lower Demand Squeeze Industry WSJ

Chemicals – Japan partnering with overseas players N *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

NatGas – US prices nosedive on warmer weather FT

NatGas – Producers Contemplate Opec-Style Group WSJ

NatGas – Australia Leads LNG Additions, US Catches Up / b *

NatGas – New pipelines working to debottleneck Appalachian Basin / b *


HEALTH

Bird Flu – Plucks sales for US turkey farmers FT / B * *

Bird Flu – French poultry exports hit AFP


ENDNOTE

Probability of a white Christmas in the EU motw *

Probability of a white Christmas in the US motw *


9 December 2015

Tuesday, December 8th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Africa

Travel – Merger Mania in Hospitality Raises Competition Concerns
F&B – China’s top two brewers battling it out
Commods – China Unleashes Torrent


MAJOR DATA POINTS

China – Nov: CPI grows; 1.5% from 1.3% / CD / AFP *

China – Nov: PPI falls for 45th month; -5.9% from -5.9% / CD *

Germany – Oct: Exports down more than expected; -1.2% from +2.6% / AP / AFP

US – Oct: Inventories seen weighing on Q4; -0.1% from +0.2% (was +0.5%) / R


MARKETS

Bonds – Investors look for greener pastures FT * *

Bonds – Corporate debt downgrades hit $1t worth of issues FT * *

Bonds – US companies turn to European debt markets FT *

Bonds – Policy divergence looms over traders FT *

Bonds – Reverse Yankees dominate euro market FT *


ECONOMICS

Africa – Xi pledges $60b to development FT / R / AP / SCMP *

Africa – China trade relationship evolves FT / FT * * * * *

Africa – Big Debt Burdens, Written Off, Are Back Again WSJ *

Africa – China by far the largest investor in infrastructure FT * *

Africa – Bond boom will be slow to return FT * *

Africa – More a marathon than a sprint E * * *

Africa – Chinese investment: Not as easy as it looks E *

Africa – ‘Will weather China’s slowdown’ B * *

Africa – Students prefer China B *

Africa – Startup Fuels Mobile-Payment Boom WSJ *

Africa – Nurturing Talent Is Hard WSJ *

Africa – Luxury goods market: Full of untapped promise B *

Nigeria – Manufacturers face import blow FT *

Nigeria – Chinese Investment Comes With a Downside NYT

Zambia – China’s Slowdown Tarnishes Boom in Copper-Rich Nation NYT

Mozambique – Hit by commodity price fall FT *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Venezuela – Opposition Wins Congressional Midterms WSJ / FT / FT / B *

Venezuela – 2015 parliamentary election e / *

Venezuela – ‘Ours is a nation of thugs’ FT * *


MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Travel – Priceline, Expedia Wage War IBD

Travel – Merger Mania in Hospitality Raises Competition Concerns NYT


MANUFACTURING

F&B – AB InBev Defends SABMiller Buy to Senate WSJ *

F&B – China’s top two brewers battling it out N * *

F&B – Chinese beer under pressure FT * *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Commods – Anglo American to Cut 85k Jobs WSJ / FT / NYT / AP * *

Commods – China Unleashes Torrent B *

Commods – Oil and mining companies hope worst is over FT *

Commods – If China Killed the Super Cycle, Fed Is About to Bury It B * *

Commods – The Collapse / vc *

Commods – 2015 a bad year / bi *

Commods – Material revolution FT * * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The importance of kerning, and other logo fails bi *


8 December 2015

Monday, December 7th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: China Economy

China – ‘Fear and loathing grip finance industry’
Media – China Box office grows 6 times faster than GDP
Asia – Sea spats splitting Asia into pro-US, pro-China camps


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Q3: GDP revised from recession to growth; +1.0% was -0.8% / FT / WSJ / NYT / AP

China – Nov: Exports Decline for Fifth Month; -6.8% from -6.9% / B / FT *

US – Oct: JOLTS Job Openings Down; 5.4m from 5.5m / bi

US – Nov: NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declined; 94.8 from 96.1 / cr


MARKETS

China – Forex reserves suffer third-largest decline FT / WSJ *

China – Back to capital outflows ft *

China – IMF Decision: What Happens to the Yuan Now? WSJ / FT *

China – Yuan tilted toward trade, limited as investment currency B * * * *

China – Yuan’s credibility hinges on liberalization N *

China – Renminbi’s Reserve Status: Symbolic or Opportunity? krane

China – Charting a decade of yuan moves / B *

China – Signs of froth in debt market FT

China – Big Bets on Homecomings for US-Listed Tech Firms WSJ *

China – Red-Hot Stock Strategy: Buy Unprofitable Companies B *

China – ‘National team’ owns 6% of stock market FT *

China – In Land of 3,500% Stock Returns, Crashes Quickly Forgotten B *


ECONOMICS

China – The creditworthiness of big state firms is worsening E *

China – Japanese companies move away N * *

China – Companies Are Trapped in IPO Logjam WSJ * *

China – Cement Deal Looks Like a Good Mix WSJ *

China – Investors in Bond Brawl Deserve Speedy Recovery WSJ *

China – Services sector key to growth FT * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

PBOC – China to Give Market Greater Say on Interest Rates WSJ


FINANCE

China – ‘Fear and loathing grip finance industry’ R

China – Heightens scrutiny of financial sector FT


REAL ESTATE

China – Shenzhen property boom leaves HK in dust FT

China – Big city land-grab sowing seeds of next property boom R

China – Northeast turns commodities conundrum into housing headache N *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Media – China to become largest movie market FT

Media – China Box office grows 6 times faster than GDP N *

Media – China’s best-selling film accused of inflating box office FT *

Media – China to Tighten Limit on Foreign TV and Video Imports WSJ *


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Asia – Sea spats splitting Asia into pro-US, pro-China camps N *

Asia – China’s Clout Grows in Shadow of Sea Spat B * *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Air – China issues first pollution ‘red alert’ FT *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The World’s Fastest Growing Cities vc *


7 December 2015

Sunday, December 6th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Labor & Monetary Policy

Chips – Makers look to autos for demand, deals and disruption
Ship – The Greek Myth
Oil – Opec Unshackled From Quota Could Add Millions of Barrels


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Germany – Oct: Industrial production edges up; +0.2% from -1.1% / AP


MARKETS



ECONOMICS

SK – A Disappointing Exports Story B *

SK – Weak demand adds to manufacturing woes N *

SK – Workaholic Koreans to take more time off FT


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Rate ‘Liftoff’ Will Lack Thrust WSJ *

Fed – Plan for Gradual Rate Rises Questioned Amid Jobs Surge B / NYT *

Fed – Data set stage for rate hike this year, economic growth next year WSJ / R *


FINANCE

US – Feds Win Fight Over Risky-Looking Loans WSJ *

US – Bailout uncertainty for big groups has benefited smaller lenders FT *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

US – Employers Added 211k Jobs WSJ *

US – Unemployment rate has been surprising experts / bi *

US – Will the Jobs Boom End Too Soon? BW

US – Companies start to sound the wage pressures alarm R

US – RI unemployment rate declines by 1.7% in past year / BLS *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH

Chips – Makers look to autos for demand, deals and disruption R

Chips – China to intensify sector’s record M&A run R

Chips – Taiwan’s makers push for China thaw FT * * *

Chips – Wave Of Megamergers Preps Semiconductor Makers For IoT IBD


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Ship – New Container Rule Riles Exporters WSJ

Ship – Container lines seek solace in greater scale FT * * *

Ship – Industry shakeout hits Asian shores N * * *

Ship – The Greek Myth R * *

Ship – Nicaragua’s $50b canal plan delayed FT


COMMODITIES

Grain – Strong Dollar Shreds Wheat Exports WSJ *

Grain – US farmers turn to storage as prices sag FT * * *

Grain – Currency swings cloud agriculture price drop FT *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Opec fails to agree after Iran pledges output boost R / AP / B *

Oil – Meeting Ends With No Cuts WSJ / FT / B / R *

Oil – Keeps Falling, Nobody Is Blinking WSJ / B *

Oil – Opec Unshackled From Quota Could Add Millions of Barrels B *

Oil – Below the break-even rate for all Opec countries / b *

Oil – CIBC: Glut Might Be Cured Faster Than You Think B *


HEALTH

Pharma – Rising Costs to Be in Focus at Congressional Hearing WSJ / FT *

Pharma – China: Bribery and flawed system dash hopes FT * *

Pharma – Cost of Skin Drugs Rising Rapidly WSJ *

Pharma – Why the US Pays More WSJ *


ENDNOTE

“ECB leaves rates unchanged in shock decision” FT / bi *


4 December 2015

Thursday, December 3rd, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Metals

ECB – Draghi’s Weeks of Rhetoric Culminate in Stumble on Stimulus
EU – Emerging banks: signs of a turnround?
Australia – House prices are cooling, not crashing: Citi


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Germany – Oct: Factory orders rebound; +1.8% from -0.7% / AFP *

US – Nov: Jobs data boosts case for rate rise; +211k from +298k / FT / NYT / R / B / WSJ *

US – Oct: Exports hit three-year low; $184b from $187b / R / WSJ / B


MARKETS

Stocks – Europe poised for recovery mode FT * * * *

Stocks – Equities call favours EZ over US FT * *


ECONOMICS

Australia – Aussie Turns Away From Iron WSJ *

Australia – Q3 capex decline was the worst on record SMH *

Australia – Chinese bid for grid tests priorities FT * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

ECB – Slices key interest rate to new historic low FT / WSJ / R / NYT / nyt *

ECB – Lifts QE to at Least €1.5t B *

ECB – Modest moves dash investor hopes FT / R / WSJ / FT / FT / FT *

ECB – Draghi’s Weeks of Rhetoric Culminate in Stumble on Stimulus B *

ECB – Cancels Regional Currency War B

ECB – Rates scenario guide ft *


FINANCE

EU – ECB Policies Get Credit From Banks WSJ *

EU – Bad Loans Hobble Banks’ Recovery WSJ *

EU – Emerging banks: signs of a turnround? FT * *


REAL ESTATE

Australia – House prices are cooling, not crashing: Citi SMH *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH

Uber – Raises Funding at $62.5b Valuation B / NYT / WSJ / B *

Uber – Four Rivals Are Now in International Alliance WSJ / R / FT / NYT


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Metals – China cuts deepen as short selling intensifies FT *

Metals – Deepening Rout B *

Metals – Output cuts fail to stem price rout FT / WSJ * *

Metals – Should Treasury Ditch the Penny? It’s Under Review wsj *

Copper – Slump Seen Extended as Miners Look to ‘Tough It Out’ B / FT *

Copper – Miners’ Pain Doesn’t Stop Buildup WSJ / WSJ *

Copper – China Demise Threatens 11-Year Support Level R *

Copper – Water Troubles in Chilean Town Threaten Global Supply WSJ *

Copper – Iran’s Mines Could Bring in Even More Cash Than Crude B *

Copper – Prices Rise on Possible Output Cuts by Chinese Producers WSJ

Iron – Rinehart to Flood Market With Fresh Supply WSJ

Iron – Crash Turns Up Heat on Miners WSJ *

Iron – China’s biggest steel companies have lost $11b FT *

Iron – Why China’s Steel Mills Won’t Cut Back Production B *

Nickel – Hiatus may be brief without output cuts, stronger demand R *

Gold – Half of Output May Not Be ‘Viable’ B / FT

Platinum – Volkswagen emissions scandal heightens concerns FT *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Deep-fried potato according to Australia motw *


3 December 2015

Wednesday, December 2nd, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Oil

World – Citi: US recession, zero interest rates in China next year
Fed – Rate hike has Democrats feeling nervous
Rail – Cheap Crude Stalls Oil Trains


MAJOR DATA POINTS

EZ – Oct: Retail trade down; -0.1%, +2.5% yr / EU *

Germany – Nov: Markit Composite PMI rises to 8-month high; 55.2 from 54.2 / m *

US – Nov: Markit service PMI fastest since August; 56.1 from 54.8 / m *

US – Nov: ISM Services PMI Falls; 55.9 from 59.1 / WSJ / R

US – Oct: Transportation buoys factory orders; +1.5% from -0.8% / R

US – Week: Jobless claims edge up; +9k to 269k / R / WSJ / AP


MARKETS

World – The return of inflation could define capital markets in 2016 FT *

World – Credit homework pivotal for investors FT * *

World – Debt defaults near milestone FT *

World – Investors Too Slow to Catch Peak Returns WSJ *

World – Global company debt sales eclipse $2t FT *

World – Private market readies for credit ructions FT * *

World – Private sector debt threatens EM governments, says Fitch FT * *

World – EM Defaults Rise After Asia’s Debt Pileup WSJ *


ECONOMICS

World – Citi: US recession, zero interest rates in China next year R

World – Fiscal Policy Makers Act B *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Yellen Says Economy Is Ripe for Hike NYT / WSJ / FT / R / AP / B *

Fed – Economy Expands at ‘Modest’ Pace, Beige Book Says WSJ / AP / B / B *

Fed – Rate hike has Democrats feeling nervous Pol


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE

World – Bubble Watch B *

World – UBS: These 12 massive housing markets are too hot / bi *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Rail – Keystone Rejection Seen Pushing Crude Back Onto Cars B *

Rail – Cheap Crude Stalls Oil Trains B *

Pipeline – Climate policy is good for projects, Canada minister says G&M

Pipeline – After Keystone setback, TransCanada turns to Mexico B / G&M *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Falls Below $40 Amid New Signs of Glut WSJ *

Oil – Iran To Increase Output 1 mbpd, Calls on Others to Cut B / WSJ *

Oil – Opec Is Ready to Rumble Over Saudi Output WSJ *

Oil – Saudi counters ‘lower for longer’ mantra FT / B * *

Oil – Opec Argues About Cuts WSJ / AP / B

Oil – Opec’s Faith in Demand Rise on Shaky Ground WSJ *

Oil – How China trimmed its Opec dependence FT * *

Oil – IEA Sees Glut Through 2016 After Reaching 17-Year High B *

Oil – Bulls Brace for Repeat of Opec’s Bearish Blow B *

Oil – Futures suggest fears of further sharp drop are premature WSJ *

Oil – Cut Supply or Drop Riyal Peg? Saudis Face ‘Critical’ Choice B *

Oil – Russia and Saudi Arabia Battle for Europe WSJ *

Oil – Saudi Arabia Edges Out Russia in China Sales B *

Oil – Low Crude Prices Catch Up With US Producers WSJ *

Oil – Writedowns Plague US Companies / B *

Oil – Strippers are more vulnerable than the frackers WSJ *

Oil – Japan falls out of love with petrol FT

Oil – Petrobras the World’s Most Indebted Oil Company WSJ *

Oil – Italy’s Eni Plans to Pump in Arctic WSJ *

Oil – Alberta’s carbon plan roils industry NP * * *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Schumpeter hits camera operator industry t *