Archive for September, 2015

1 October 2015

Wednesday, September 30th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Alcohol Update

EU – Political surprise in eurozone – austerity is a vote-winner
Germany – ‘Das bubble?’
Shale – US: Output Refuses to Collapse


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Q3: Tankan corporate sentiment worsening; 12 from 15 / AP / FT

China – Sep: Offical factory PMI contracts 2nd month; 49.8 from 49.7 / AP / NYT / FT / WSJ / R

China – Sep: Markit Composite PMI at 80-month low; 48.0 from 48.8 / m *

US – Sep: ISM manufacturing eases; 50.2 from 51.1 / R

US – Sep: Markit factory PMI inches higher; 53.1 from 53.0 / R *

US – Week: Jobless claims rise modestly; +10k to 277k / R / B


MARKETS

World – Stocks Head for Worst Quarter in Four Years B / B * * *

World – With only 2 of 21 benchmarks up, leanest year since 2008 R *

World – 2015 Is Turning Out to Be a Terrible Year for Investors B * *

World – Chinese Domino Effect Still Threatens Markets WSJ

World – After Rough Quarter, Investors Buckle Up WSJ / FT *

World – Markets: Can they really be tamed? FT * * * *


ECONOMICS

World – WTO slashes outlook for global commerce FT

World – IMF chief warns of ‘disappointing’ growth FT / AP / B / AFP


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

EU – Political surprise in eurozone – austerity is a vote-winner R


MONETARY POLICY

ECB – EZ deflation stokes talk of QE boost FT

ECB – Draghi cautious on need for more QE FT *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE

Germany – ‘Das bubble?’ B


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

F&B – Potential AB InBev Takeover of SABMiller Has Pitfalls WSJ / FT *

F&B – Creating the OPEC of Beer B / FT / WSJ / B * *

F&B – Beer’s Long-Term Decline Inspires Merger Talks BB *

F&B – Merger Faces Obstacles NYT / WSJ / FT / IBD * *

F&B – Drinking competition FT *

F&B – AB InBev brews opportunity for Molson Coors FT

F&B – Heineken, Carlsberg Unlikely to Benefit From Megadeal WSJ *

F&B – Big Beer has a reason to ponder its own mortality FT / ft *

F&B – A Brewing Giant May Stir Up Japan’s Beer Market WSJ *

F&B – Chinese beer loses its froth FT * *

F&B – In Chinese Beer Battle, Tsingtao’s Froth May Go Flat WSJ *

F&B – Will self-serve beer render bartenders obsolete? LAT

F&B – ‘AB InBev could eventually buy Coca-Cola’ R

F&B – Sodas, Health Officials Duke It Out City by City WSJ *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Pipeline – Keystone Aims to Delay Review Process WSJ / G&M

Pipeline – Native leaders divided on oil-sands projects G&M *

Pipeline – Big Investors Lose Fight With Norway WSJ *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Shale – US: Court Blocks Obama Fracking Rule WSJ / FT / NYT

Shale – US: Output Refuses to Collapse B *

Shale – US: So far, less pain than feared as firms renew loans R *

Shale – US: Towns are overbuilt B

Shale – UK: Fracking produces low-carbon gas, Lord Smith argues FT

Sands – Athabasca may face severe water shortages CBC

Sands – No long-term future, says Alberta’s premier G

Sands – Slumping prices have pushed Alberta to the margins FP / FP * *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

1975 Report: US Oil Will All Be Gone by 2015; ‘Solution is not increased production’ UPI *


30 September 2015

Tuesday, September 29th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Asean

BCB – Real’s slide could force Brazil to raise rates in Q1
Cards – Chips Will Require Users to Dip Rather Than Swipe
TPP – Autos key to driving Pacific trade deal over finish line


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Aug: Industrial Output Slide Hints at Recession; -0.5% from -0.8% / WSJ / FT *

EZ – Sep: Inflation Negative as ECB Debates Stimulus; -0.1% from +0.1% / B *

Canada – Jul: Economy expands more than expected; +0.3% from +0.4% / G&M / CBC / R

US – Sep: ADP Private-Sector Jobs Rose; +200k from +186k / WSJ / R


MARKETS

EMs – Portfolio outflows worst since global financial crisis FT / WSJ / B * *

EMs – Fund groups take axe to funds FT * *

EMs – IMF warns of coming spike in company failures FT

EMs – Where did all the FX bonds go? ft *


ECONOMICS

Sri Lanka – Prime minister pledges continued China ties FT *

Myanmar – Dagon City’s Demise Casts Doubts WSJ / WSJ *

Malaysia – Weak external demand sends PMI to 32-month low N *

Malaysia – Faces hurdles even if Fed liftoff is a success B *

Malaysia – A floundering government risks igniting ethnic tensions E *

Singapore – A Safe Harbor WSJ *

Indonesia – Foreign Firms Fret at Obstacles WSJ / WSJ *

Indonesia – Strict Islamic laws raise of an extremist turn FT * *

Vietnam – Moves from hyperinflation to … zero FT

Vietnam – Defies emerging market slowdown FT * *

Vietnam – New friendship with US reflects political drama at home E *

Philippines – Leadership race is gathering pace N / N * *

Philippines – The most leveraged borrowers in Southeast Asia FT * *

Philippines – How Manila Missed Out on Commodities Prosperity WSJ *

Asean – ‘Stronger yen, deflation help Japan win friends’ N *

Asean – Japan launches push to woo Mekong states FT / FT * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Brazil – Dilma’s dilemma over weak real FT *

Brazil – In the firing line FT* * * *


MONETARY POLICY

BCB – Brazil vows to control inflation FT

BCB – Real’s slide could force Brazil to raise rates in Q1 B *


FINANCE

Cards – Chips Will Require Users to Dip Rather Than Swipe NYT *

Cards – Liability Is Set to Shift WSJ *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

Autos – VW: Refit Plan For Emissions-Rigged Vehicles WSJ *

Autos – VW: Europe’s Diesel Habit Could Be Hard to Kick NYT / FT * *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

TPP – Trade deal success poised in Atlanta FT / WSJ

TPP – US business groups oppose exceptions R

TPP – Autos key to driving Pacific trade deal over finish line R

TPP – Canada lines up support from auto-parts makers G&M

TPP – Could include big dairy concession CBC / CP


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The geography of left-handedness in the US wapo *


29 September 2015

Monday, September 28th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: China Economy

Pot – More College Students Use Marijuana Daily
Truck – Movement by shippers toward long-term contract business
Oil – Europe’s gasoline-heavy refiners see profit in VW scandal


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Jul: Case-Shiller home price growth steady; +5.0% yr from +5.0% yr / R *


MARKETS

China – Renminbi creeps closer to global reserve status FT

China – Money supply growth dwarfs the rest of the world FT * * *

China – Debt Market Heats Up WSJ *

China – Bubble Stocks: The Latest Multi-Billion-Dollar Mirage WSJ

China – Becomes Asia’s Biggest Securitization Market WSJ *


ECONOMICS

China – GDP set to slide in third quarter FT *

China – What if the underlying figures are reliable? FT * * * *

China – Industrial profits victim of stock collapse; down 8.8% / b *

China – Consumption boom is not enough to succour the world economy E *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

RBI – Rajan Faces Pressure to Cut Again B *

RBI – India to stand firm in face of pressures B * *

RBI – India slashes rates by 50 basis points FT / WSJ / AP / B / TOI


FINANCE

China – PBOC Official Promotes Accelerated Financial Reform WSJ


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Pot – More College Students Use Marijuana Daily WSJ *

Pot – Silicon Valley’s hot new sector FT * *


MANUFACTURING



TECH

China – After Alibaba IPO, Cracks Appear in Country’s Tech WSJ *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Truck – ATA Index decreased 0.9% cr *

Truck – Movement by shippers toward long-term contract business WSJ

Truck – Makes a Comeback, but Small Operators Miss Out WSJ *


COMMODITIES

Sugar – Brazil: An Emerging Debacle WSJ * *

Salt – China Struggles to Shake Up Monopoly WSJ *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Lid on Prices Refuses to Budge WSJ *

Oil – Shell abandons contentious Arctic exploration FT / WSJ / NYT * * *

Oil – Shell’s Arctic defeat ends dream of new frontier FT * * *

Oil – Europe’s gasoline-heavy refiners see profit in VW scandal R *

Oil – China Is Sitting on an Ocean of Diesel Fuel B * *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

World cannabis laws am *


28 September 2015

Sunday, September 27th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Economy

Silicon Valley – India Replaces China as Next Big Frontier for Tech Companies
Platinum – VW scandal could end supremacy over palladium
Hurricanes – People Are Moving To The Coast Amid The Lull


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Aug: Pending Home Sales Index Down; -1.4%, +6.1% yr / WSJ / AP / R / B

US – Aug: Consumer Spending Up; +0.4% from +0.4% / WSJ / R / AP


MARKETS

US – Bonds Flash Warning Sign WSJ * *


ECONOMICS

US – 2nd Quarter GDP Grows 3.9% WSJ *

US – Household Wealth Sets Record WSJ *

US – Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increased in 41 states / cr *

US – Chemical Barometer Suggests Economy Under Pressure BB *

US – Economists have next downturn occurring in 2018 B *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Spain – Independence parties win in Catalonia FT / R / B / WSJ *

Spain – Catalan Vote Sets Odds on Secession WSJ *

Spain – Strives to soothe fears over Catalonia FT *

Spain – Highway Tolls Help Drive Catalonia Toward Exit WSJ *


MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Yellen reiterates expectations of 2015 rate rise FT / WSJ / R / B / AP

Fed – Decision to hold rates adds to the uncertainty FT * *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

US – Immigration Downturn Has Contributed to the Construction-Worker Shortage wsj *


SERVICES

Ads – Blocking Is a Hot Topic for Media Executives WSJ

Ads – Big Publishers’ Fraud Rate is 2.8%, Wider Web’s is 11% WSJ

Ads – Marketers thought the Web would allow perfect targeting BW * *


MANUFACTURING

Autos – VW: Did ambition to become the world’s top carmaker lead to cheating? FT / NYT *

Autos – VW: Scandal Socks Auto-Parts Makers Bn *

Autos – VW: Auto-Parts Makers Hit by Scandal WSJ *

Autos – VW: Europe Embraces Real-World Emissions Testing WSJ / FT / WSJ *


TECH

Silicon Valley – India Replaces China as Next Big Frontier for Tech Companies NYT / FT

Silicon Valley – US-EU Data-Transfer Pact Should Be Invalidated, Says Advocate General WSJ / FT / NYT

Silicon Valley – Why Europe isn’t creating any Googles or Facebooks AP

Silicon Valley – Australian version an unlikely dream: experts ABC


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Platinum – VW scandal could end supremacy over palladium R * *

Iron – China’s appetite wanes Aus / FT *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Hurricanes – Looks like mild year forecast got it right WSJ *

Hurricanes – Florida’s Dry Spell Lasts WSJ *

Hurricanes – People Are Moving To The Coast Amid The Lull 538 * *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Western Pacific Typhoons / bm *


25 September 2015

Friday, September 25th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: HigherEd

Japan – Abe airs Abenomics 2.0
BOJ – ‘Should brace for Chinese quantitative tightening’
Water – The Next Hot Commodity


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Aug: Inflation flat, weighed by low oil prices; +0.2% from +0.2% / AP / FT *

US – Q2: GDP Revised Up; +3.9% was +3.7% / WSJ / AP / R / B / FT *

US – Sep: UMich Consumer Sentiment at 11-month low; 87.2 from 91.9 / B *


MARKETS

EMs – Markets Go From Bad to Worse WSJ *

EMs – Brazil’s real worst hit in forex ‘bloodbath’ FT / WSJ *

EMs – Flows turn sharply positive in spite of dire warnings FT *

EMs – Suppliers nervous over China’s woes FT *


ECONOMICS

Japan – Abe airs Abenomics 2.0 AP / FT / AFP / WSJ


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Japan – China’s angry reaction to new security laws is echoed at home E *


MONETARY POLICY

BOJ – How the Fed Waiting Game Pushes Japan to Ease WSJ *

BOJ – Weak Wages Put More Easing on the Table WSJ *

BOJ – ‘Should brace for Chinese quantitative tightening’ N * *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

HigherEd – Debt Relief Snarls Market for Loans WSJ *

HigherEd – Student Debt Payback Lags WSJ *

HigherEd – ‘Student Loans Could Use Some Market Discipline’ WSJ *

HigherEd – Zillow: Student Loans Don’t Restrain Young Home Buyers WSJ

HigherEd – China’s Woes Could Hurt US Universities qz * *


SERVICES

Ads – Apple Propels a Blocking Cottage Industry WSJ *

Ads – Blocking in Apple’s iOS 9 Prompts Backlash NYT / FT / FT


MANUFACTURING



TECH

Streaming – Live Video Is the New Mobile Data Hog WSJ * *

Streaming – Cable companies given walking papers at intensifying pace CNBC * *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Water – The Next Hot Commodity NYT

Water – Severe Droughts Leave Africans Hungry WSJ *

Water – El Nino Impact Won’t Show Up in US for Weeks B

Water – Looming La Niña cheers commodity bulls FT *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Carbon – China to Announce Cap-and-Trade Program NYT / FT / B

Carbon – Cap-and-Trade Presents Challenges Under China’s System NYT / WSJ

Carbon – Companies accelerate use of pricing FT / B *


HEALTH

Pharma – Value over volume FT * * * *

Pharma – America’s supplement industry looks healthy E *

Pharma – US regulators accept ‘chip in a pill’ application FT *


ENDNOTE

UBS: NY most expensive city wsj *


24 September 2015

Thursday, September 24th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: China

Autos – VW: Emissions Tests Come Under Global Scrutiny
Rice – Weather Cuts Crop in Southern US
Oil – Sasol bets on shale gas with $9b plant


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Germany – Oct: GfK consumer climate index dropped; 9.6 from 9.9 / AP *

Germany – Sep: Ifo business climate index rose; 108.5 from 108.4 / AFP *

US – Aug: New-Home Sales Up; +5.7% / WSJ / cr *

US – Aug: Durable Orders Fall; +2.0% from -1.9% / WSJ / R / AP

US – Week: Jobless claims tick up; +3k to 267k / WSJ / AP


MARKETS

China – A Big Bet That The Currency Will Devalue Further NYT / FT *

China – A Few Winners in Struggling Stock Market WSJ *

China – HK Stocks Still Cheap Despite Cash Inflows Into City WSJ *

China – HK competition law to tame the tycoons B *


ECONOMICS

China – Economic Outlook Too Grim, Survey Shows WSJ / FT *

China – Economy Bigger Than It Seems? WSJ *

China – Signs point to deepening distress FT

China – Revs up its bid for WTO market economy status FT

China – Pledges Economic Reforms WSJ / FT *

China – Unveils Overhaul of Bloated State Sector WSJ / FT / AP / E * *

China – Lots of money is escaping porous capital controls E *

China – Ties lose lustre as Iran refocuses on trade with west FT *

China – US states deepen commercial ties FT * *

China – US Presses Firms to Raise Complaints WSJ / NYT *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

China – Cyber Sleuths Track Hacker to Military WSJ / NYT *

China – How Asia views each other e *


MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE



REAL ESTATE

China – House prices rebound — how come? FT * * * *

China – Home Prices Rose in 35 of 70 Cities / b *

China – ‘Property is once again becoming the asset of choice’ ft *


LABOR & EDUCATION

China – Factories struggle to fill production lines FT

China – Workers Stumble as Factories Stall WSJ *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

Autos – VW: CEO Resigns Over Emissions Scandal WSJ *

Autos – VW: Scandal set to choke diesel car industry FT / R * *

Autos – VW: US carmakers hit by scandal reverberations FT

Autos – VW: Emissions Scandal Puts European Rivals on Offensive WSJ *

Autos – VW: Other Diesel Ruse: Premium Pricing B *

Autos – VW: Scandal dents trust in battered sector FT * *

Autos – VW: Emissions Tests Come Under Global Scrutiny NYT / FT *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Rice – Weather Cuts Crop in Southern US B *

Rice – Japan’s consumption is falling fast FT / AS * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Fracking Firms That Drove Boom Struggle to Survive WSJ

Oil – Energy Lending Caught in a Squeeze WSJ *

Oil – Financial support fades for US shale drillers FT *

Oil – Slide forces companies to rethink how they operate FT / FT * *

Oil – Sasol bets on shale gas with $9b plant FT *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The pope’s visit could be an ominous sign for the stock market bi *


23 September 2015

Wednesday, September 23rd, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: UK Real Estate

Gaming – BRICS: Russia, Brazil look to gambling
Metals – VW scandal engulfs platinum
Coal – Collection of Appalachian pits just sold for nothing


MAJOR DATA POINTS

China – Sep: Markit PMI lowest in more than 6 years; 47.0 from 47.3 / AFP / AP / WSJ / FT *

US – Sep: Markit PMI unchanged from 22-month low; 53.0 / R *


MARKETS



ECONOMICS



POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

UK – Corbyn tries to end confusion over Brexit FT / FT

UK – Research lays bare deep Brexit divisions among small businesses FT * *


MONETARY POLICY

ECB – Nears Limits of What Monetary Policy Can Do WSJ *

ECB – Focus shifts to further stimulus FT * *


FINANCE

EU – Banks on Track for Fifth Year of Staff Cuts / b *


REAL ESTATE

UK – Minister eyes 1m new homes over 5 years FT

UK – Housebuilding boosts construction industry FT *

UK – Housing market shows signs of reheating FT

UK – Rate Increase Could End Property Boom WSJ

UK – Britain’s bubbly housing market e * * * * *

UK – Housing policy leads to loss of 6msf of offices in year FT

UK – Foreign investors go on a commercial shopping spree E *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Gaming – Russia gambles on casino to revive fortunes of far east FT

Gaming – Brazil in talks on gambling legalization R *


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Metals – VW scandal engulfs platinum R / FT / WSJ *

Metals – Zinc at five-year low as stocks rise FT

Metals – Beware the Christmas ghosts in the copper machine r *

Metals – China’s rising output deepens aluminum gloom R * *

Metals – Prices likely to remain weak amid rising supply B *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Coal – Funds worth $2.6t pledge to dump FT

Coal – BHP Billiton Sees Rocky Outlook WSJ

Coal – Collection of Appalachian pits just sold for nothing B *

Coal – Is it the end of Canada industry? CBC

Coal – Climate philanthropist Soros invests millions G


HEALTH

Biotech – New Weapon in Push to Lower Drug Prices WSJ

Biotech – How US valuations got stretched FT * * *


ENDNOTE

Geographically accurate map of London Underground motw *


22 September 2015

Monday, September 21st, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Health Tech

Australia – Down, under
Canada – Rebranding the economy in the wake of the oil slump
Silicon Valley – Economic Indicator: Caltrain Ridership


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Jul: FHFA House Price Index Up; +0.6%, +5.8% yr / cr *


MARKETS

Bonds – Bigger, Riskier and More Fragile Than Ever WSJ *

Bonds – Some Funds Are Not as Liquid as They Appear WSJ *

Bonds – Debt Investors Wary as Offerings Fuel Buybacks WSJ *

Bonds – It’s Party On in Credit Markets B * *


ECONOMICS

Australia – Down, under ft *

Canada – Rebranding the economy in the wake of the oil slump G&M *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE

Canada – The impact of loan losses may be overblown FT *


REAL ESTATE

Australia – Crackdown on Foreign Property-Buyers Intensifies WSJ

Canada – Vancouver house prices jump 20% G&M *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

Autos – VW: 11m Cars Worldwide Are Affected NYT / WSJ / FT / WSJ / FT

Autos – VW: CEO is about to be fired R

Autos – VW: $51m in green subsidies for ‘clean’ vehicles LAT

Autos – VW: Scandal set to choke diesel car industry FT / FT

Autos – VW: Choking on the fumes WSJ / NYT / AP / R / FT / WSJ * *

Autos – VW: Reels from US allegations of emissions cheating FT * * *

Autos – VW: Emissions Test Scandal Spreads to Europe WSJ *


TECH

Silicon Valley – China Seeks Out Unlikely Ally: U.S. Tech Firms WSJ / R

Silicon Valley – EU: Internet Rules Don’t Discriminate Against US WSJ

Silicon Valley – Can Germany Beat the US to the Industrial Internet? BW

Silicon Valley – Economic Indicator: Caltrain Ridership wsj * *

Silicon Valley – This is nuts. When’s the crash? ft * *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Diamonds – Miners cut through China fears FT

Diamonds – Lower Prices Could Be a Lasting Affair WSJ / AFP * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Falling production is underpinning US prices R * * *

Oil – ‘Drillers Are Drowning in Debt’ B *

Oil – Drillers Idled US Rigs for Third Week / b *

Oil – Speculators Most Bullish in Two Months B *

Oil – China Is Hoarding B * *

Oil – China’s outsize crude imports throw traders for loop N * *


HEALTH

Tech – Australia Looks to Health Care to Remedy Doldrums WSJ *

Tech – The ‘Golden Age’ for Stocks Could Be Nearing an End WSJ

Tech – New Cardiac Devices Get Investors’ Hearts Pumping IBD

Tech – Startups Vie to Build an Uber for Health Care WSJ *

Tech – Dozens of mergers are side effect of health-care law WSJ *

Tech – Investors grow more sceptical of extravagant deals FT * *


ENDNOTE

When to Send and Not Send Email staples *


21 September 2015

Sunday, September 20th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: LatAm

US – The Rent Crisis Is About to Get a Lot Worse
Ridesharing – Uber prompts rethink at NY taxi licence group
Insurance – Bipartisan Effort Fights Rule That Could Raise Premiums


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Aug: Existing home sales fall more than expected; -4.8% not -1.1% / WSJ / R *


MARKETS

EMs – Fed Rate Decision Roils Currencies WSJ / NYT

EMs – Fed doves turn managers cold on stocks FT / FT * *

EMs – Investors damn Fed with faint praise FT / FT *

Asia – Fed Holds Fire, Shares Gain WSJ / WSJ *


ECONOMICS

LatAm – Andean economies prove resilient FT *

Brazil – Recession’s sharp bite E * *

Brazil – Bargains beckon after S&P downgrades to ‘junk’ FT * *

Brazil – 4 charts that put Rousseff’s job on the line FT * * * *

Venezuela – Seeking scapegoats E *

Argentina – Bonds buoyed by political hopes FT *

Chile – Keeps Nurturing Seeds for ‘Chilecon Valley’ WSJ

Colombia – Shows how to cope with tumbling oil prices FT *

Mexico – Structural problems hold country back FT * *

Mexico – Still a long way from wealth and modernity E * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Greece – Unexpectedly decisive win for Tsipras FT / WSJ / AP / B / R / FT * *

Greece – Businesses Hope for Post-Election Stability WSJ *


MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Reins In the Dollar WSJ *

Fed – Look to China for clues on when rates will rise FT *


FINANCE

US – Fed Squeezes Bank Profits WSJ / B *


REAL ESTATE

US – The Rent Crisis Is About to Get a Lot Worse B * *

US – Yellen Sees a ‘Very Depressed’ Housing Market B *

US – Mortgage borrowing is back B * *


LABOR & EDUCATION

US – Retailers, Delivery Struggle to Find Holiday Workers WSJ *


SERVICES

Delivery – FedEx cuts 2016 forecast on weak demand FT / WSJ


MANUFACTURING



TECH

Ridesharing – Uber prompts rethink at NY taxi licence group FT

Ridesharing – Uber Meets Its Match in France WSJ *

Ridesharing – Uber competitors form global alliance FT / WSJ / NYT

Ridesharing – BlaBlaCar zooms ahead with $200m investment FT / WSJ *

Ridesharing – Uber pushed into Europe but misjudged the regulators FT *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH

Insurance – Bipartisan Effort Fights Rule That Could Raise Premiums NYT

Insurance – Health Cooperatives Find the Going Tough NYT

Insurance – Americans without fell to 10.4% WSJ / NYT / B / wsj * * *


ENDNOTE

5000 years of interest rates ft *


18 September 2015

Thursday, September 17th, 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Rail Transit

World – A slowdown in trade growth is bad news for many EMs
Fed – In Bond-Market Irony, Inflation Is Lower Now Than When Eased
Metals – A wave of cheap Chinese steel exports hits Asia


MAJOR DATA POINTS

US – Aug: ConfBd leading indicators inch up; +0.1% from flat / CNBC


MARKETS

Currencies – Optimists foresee bottom for EM FT * *

Currencies – Renminbi may be risk that wags the tail FT *

Currencies – US farmers held back by dollar’s rise FT * *

Currencies – Weaker Russian rouble boosts agricultural trade with China FT *


ECONOMICS

World – Worries Rise Over Trade Slump WSJ / WSJ *

World – A slowdown in trade growth is bad news for many EMs E * *

EMs – 5 straight weeks of portfolio outflows FT *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Holds fire FT / WSJ / NYT / R / B / AP * * *

Fed – Dovish Tone Surprises Economists NYT / FT / R / B *

Fed – Rate Decision Keeps Debate Raging WSJ / b *

Fed – Investors focus on FOMC outlook FT * *

Fed – In Bond-Market Irony, Inflation Is Lower Now Than When Eased B *

Fed – Easy Money Alone Isn’t a Growth Salve WSJ *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Rail – US: Agreement on CA/NV High-Speed Line Before Xi Visit B

Rail – US: China Inroads With Factory and Boston Transit Deal NYT

Rail – US: CA Eyes Plan to Speed Bullet Train WSJ *

Rail – US: TX Group Races for High-Speed Line WSJ / N *

Rail – US: FL Private Freight Operator Takes a Gamble WSJ *

Rail – US: $11b Later, High-Speed System Is Inching Along NYT / FT / R

Rail – US: ‘Betting big on bullet trains’ fortune * * * * * * * * *

Rail – US: The sorry state of Amtrak’s on-time performance wapo * *


COMMODITIES

Metals – Operations suspended at two big Chile copper mines R / FT *

Metals – Ford, Alcoa Expand Aluminum Deal WSJ

Metals – Glencore inventory sale could sink zinc prices further R *

Metals – A wave of cheap Chinese steel exports hits Asia E *

Metals – Why Prices Are Likely to Remain Weak for a While wsj *

Metals – China Consumes Enormous Amounts of Raw Materials bp *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Carbon – US, China Build on Plan to Cut Emissions WSJ *

Carbon – China’s coal consumption higher than thought FT


HEALTH

Dengue – Delhi hospitals warned over crisis FT / nyt

Malaria – Deaths fall 60% since 2000 AFP *


ENDNOTE

The logistics of the haj E * *