30 September 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Asean

BCB – Real’s slide could force Brazil to raise rates in Q1
Cards – Chips Will Require Users to Dip Rather Than Swipe
TPP – Autos key to driving Pacific trade deal over finish line


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Aug: Industrial Output Slide Hints at Recession; -0.5% from -0.8% / WSJ / FT *

EZ – Sep: Inflation Negative as ECB Debates Stimulus; -0.1% from +0.1% / B *

Canada – Jul: Economy expands more than expected; +0.3% from +0.4% / G&M / CBC / R

US – Sep: ADP Private-Sector Jobs Rose; +200k from +186k / WSJ / R


MARKETS

EMs – Portfolio outflows worst since global financial crisis FT / WSJ / B * *

EMs – Fund groups take axe to funds FT * *

EMs – IMF warns of coming spike in company failures FT

EMs – Where did all the FX bonds go? ft *


ECONOMICS

Sri Lanka – Prime minister pledges continued China ties FT *

Myanmar – Dagon City’s Demise Casts Doubts WSJ / WSJ *

Malaysia – Weak external demand sends PMI to 32-month low N *

Malaysia – Faces hurdles even if Fed liftoff is a success B *

Malaysia – A floundering government risks igniting ethnic tensions E *

Singapore – A Safe Harbor WSJ *

Indonesia – Foreign Firms Fret at Obstacles WSJ / WSJ *

Indonesia – Strict Islamic laws raise of an extremist turn FT * *

Vietnam – Moves from hyperinflation to … zero FT

Vietnam – Defies emerging market slowdown FT * *

Vietnam – New friendship with US reflects political drama at home E *

Philippines – Leadership race is gathering pace N / N * *

Philippines – The most leveraged borrowers in Southeast Asia FT * *

Philippines – How Manila Missed Out on Commodities Prosperity WSJ *

Asean – ‘Stronger yen, deflation help Japan win friends’ N *

Asean – Japan launches push to woo Mekong states FT / FT * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Brazil – Dilma’s dilemma over weak real FT *

Brazil – In the firing line FT* * * *


MONETARY POLICY

BCB – Brazil vows to control inflation FT

BCB – Real’s slide could force Brazil to raise rates in Q1 B *


FINANCE

Cards – Chips Will Require Users to Dip Rather Than Swipe NYT *

Cards – Liability Is Set to Shift WSJ *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

Autos – VW: Refit Plan For Emissions-Rigged Vehicles WSJ *

Autos – VW: Europe’s Diesel Habit Could Be Hard to Kick NYT / FT * *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

TPP – Trade deal success poised in Atlanta FT / WSJ

TPP – US business groups oppose exceptions R

TPP – Autos key to driving Pacific trade deal over finish line R

TPP – Canada lines up support from auto-parts makers G&M

TPP – Could include big dairy concession CBC / CP


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The geography of left-handedness in the US wapo *


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