16 December 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Monetary Policy

US – Next Rate Hike: Mortgages
US – ‘Revolving Door Helps Big Banks’ Muscle Out Fannie and Freddie’
El Niño – Sugar Shortage Drives Bullish Bets to Seven-Year High


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Dec: Markit PMI dips; 52.5 from 52.6 / m *

EZ – Dec: Markit PMI edged down; 54.0 from 54.2 / FT / WSJ / B *

US – Nov: Industrial Production Down; -0.6% from -0.4% / WSJ

US – Dec: Housing starts rebound; +10.5% from -12.0% / R / AP / WSJ


MARKETS

Currencies – Calm frays as Fed threatens another storm of volatility B *


ECONOMICS

US – Boost From Oil-Price Drop Is Elusive WSJ

US – Credit Card Debt Continues to Swell B *

US – Fed Report Says Household Net Worth Declined by $1.2t WSJ *

US – Middle Class Is No Longer the Majority wsj *

US – Summers: We might be facing a world of high volatility wapo *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Poised to Mark the End of an Era WSJ *

Fed – Ghost of September’s Delay Haunt Decision B * *

Fed – Risks New Distortions WSJ *

Fed – Markets make decision harder FT *

Fed – How Yellen intends to raise rates FT * *

Fed – What Yellen Will Be Watching to See If Liftoff Worked B * *

Fed – Economists forecast multiple rate rises next year FT / AP * *

Fed – Officials Worry Rates Will Go Up, Only to Come Back Down WSJ *

Fed – It’s the trajectory that counts FT * *

Fed – Steers for calmer waters FT * *

Fed – The Mystery of Missing Inflation WSJ *

Fed – A Brief History of U.S. Inflation Since 1775 wsj *

Fed – The Bizarre Theory That Says Increases Will Fuel Inflation B *

Fed – US industrial heartland frets as rate rise looms FT *

Fed – It may be too late already for the ECB divergence trade B / NYT *

Fed – Eastern Europe could cushion blow of rate rise FT *

Fed – Impact on China B * *

Fed – Lift-off is Mexico’s rate rise dilemma FT

Fed – EMs Not in Step WSJ *

Fed – Jittery EMs await policy fallout FT / FT * * *

Fed – Rupee, yen may be Asian currencies most insulated B *


FINANCE

US – Banks Prep for Trading Influx, as Rate Rise Looms WSJ

US – Banks prepare for assault from online rivals FT


REAL ESTATE

US – What’s In Store For Homebuilders As Rate Hike Looms? IBD

US – First time home buyers set for rate rise bruising FT *

US – Next Rate Hike: Mortgages B * *

US – ‘Revolving Door Helps Big Banks’ Muscle Out Fannie and Freddie’ NYT

US – Cities work to create middle class housing WSJ *

US – Rental Prices Less Affordable B * *

US – Commercial Real-Estate Prices Soar WSJ *

US – Chinese Rich Stashing Cash in Hotels and Strip Malls WSJ


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

El Niño – Cools Africa’s Economic Engine WSJ *

El Niño – Could spell a bad year for maple syrup CP

El Niño – Sugar Shortage Drives Bullish Bets to Seven-Year High B *

El Niño – Could be a boon or a blow to CA vineyards LAT


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The professional trajectories of the original Star Wars cast e *


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