3 December 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Oil

World – Citi: US recession, zero interest rates in China next year
Fed – Rate hike has Democrats feeling nervous
Rail – Cheap Crude Stalls Oil Trains


MAJOR DATA POINTS

EZ – Oct: Retail trade down; -0.1%, +2.5% yr / EU *

Germany – Nov: Markit Composite PMI rises to 8-month high; 55.2 from 54.2 / m *

US – Nov: Markit service PMI fastest since August; 56.1 from 54.8 / m *

US – Nov: ISM Services PMI Falls; 55.9 from 59.1 / WSJ / R

US – Oct: Transportation buoys factory orders; +1.5% from -0.8% / R

US – Week: Jobless claims edge up; +9k to 269k / R / WSJ / AP


MARKETS

World – The return of inflation could define capital markets in 2016 FT *

World – Credit homework pivotal for investors FT * *

World – Debt defaults near milestone FT *

World – Investors Too Slow to Catch Peak Returns WSJ *

World – Global company debt sales eclipse $2t FT *

World – Private market readies for credit ructions FT * *

World – Private sector debt threatens EM governments, says Fitch FT * *

World – EM Defaults Rise After Asia’s Debt Pileup WSJ *


ECONOMICS

World – Citi: US recession, zero interest rates in China next year R

World – Fiscal Policy Makers Act B *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Yellen Says Economy Is Ripe for Hike NYT / WSJ / FT / R / AP / B *

Fed – Economy Expands at ‘Modest’ Pace, Beige Book Says WSJ / AP / B / B *

Fed – Rate hike has Democrats feeling nervous Pol


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE

World – Bubble Watch B *

World – UBS: These 12 massive housing markets are too hot / bi *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Rail – Keystone Rejection Seen Pushing Crude Back Onto Cars B *

Rail – Cheap Crude Stalls Oil Trains B *

Pipeline – Climate policy is good for projects, Canada minister says G&M

Pipeline – After Keystone setback, TransCanada turns to Mexico B / G&M *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Falls Below $40 Amid New Signs of Glut WSJ *

Oil – Iran To Increase Output 1 mbpd, Calls on Others to Cut B / WSJ *

Oil – Opec Is Ready to Rumble Over Saudi Output WSJ *

Oil – Saudi counters ‘lower for longer’ mantra FT / B * *

Oil – Opec Argues About Cuts WSJ / AP / B

Oil – Opec’s Faith in Demand Rise on Shaky Ground WSJ *

Oil – How China trimmed its Opec dependence FT * *

Oil – IEA Sees Glut Through 2016 After Reaching 17-Year High B *

Oil – Bulls Brace for Repeat of Opec’s Bearish Blow B *

Oil – Futures suggest fears of further sharp drop are premature WSJ *

Oil – Cut Supply or Drop Riyal Peg? Saudis Face ‘Critical’ Choice B *

Oil – Russia and Saudi Arabia Battle for Europe WSJ *

Oil – Saudi Arabia Edges Out Russia in China Sales B *

Oil – Low Crude Prices Catch Up With US Producers WSJ *

Oil – Writedowns Plague US Companies / B *

Oil – Strippers are more vulnerable than the frackers WSJ *

Oil – Japan falls out of love with petrol FT

Oil – Petrobras the World’s Most Indebted Oil Company WSJ *

Oil – Italy’s Eni Plans to Pump in Arctic WSJ *

Oil – Alberta’s carbon plan roils industry NP * * *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Schumpeter hits camera operator industry t *


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