9 October 2014



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Real Estate

US – Inflation expectations flashing red
Ukraine – Russia boosts gold reserves to soften sanctions
NatGas – Ukraine sanctions diverting Russian gas to China


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Aug: Machinery Orders Rise for Third Straight Month; +4.7% from +3.5% / WSJ / Jgov *

Germany – Aug: Exports Slide Most Since 2009; -5.8% from +4.8% / B / R / WSJ / AP / FT *

US – Aug: Wholesale inventories grew; +0.7% from +0.3% / R *

US – Week: Jobless Claims Fall; -1k to 287k / WSJ / R / B / AP *


MARKETS

Bonds – ‘Lower for longer’ Fed boosts Treasuries FT * *

Bonds – Fed Minutes Send German Bunds to Record High WSJ

Bonds – Foreign buyers hold key to debt prices FT *

Bonds – Eurozone Woes Fuel Germany’s Bargains WSJ *


ECONOMICS

US – Dollar’s Surge Imperils Corporate Earnings WSJ *

US – Inflation expectations flashing red FT / ft *

US – Household Wealth Hits Fresh Record WSJ / R *

US – America is getting richer, but most voters can’t feel it E * * *

US – Aging Buildings Seen Reversing Stinginess B *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Ukraine – Central bank support for rouble wears thin FT / B / B *

Ukraine – Russia reserve fall defies emerging markets trend in 2014 R *

Ukraine – Russian Companies Clamor for Dollars to Repay Debt WSJ *

Ukraine – Russia boosts gold reserves to soften sanctions N *

Ukraine – Russia Seeks Sanctions Tit for Tat NYT / AP

Ukraine – Putin Trumpets Economic Strength, but Advisers Seem Less Certain NYT / FT

Ukraine – Russian car sales plummet 20% AFP / B

Ukraine – Finance minister warns Russia can’t afford military spending plan R

Ukraine – Russian companies face credit crunch danger FT

Ukraine – Oil Plunge Magnifies Russia’s Sanctions Pain B *


MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Fears market misreading of guidance FT / WSJ / R / B / AP / NYT *

Fed – US inflation measure proves headache FT * *

Fed – Government debt and monetary policy ft *


FINANCE

US – Banks Set to Sign Deal Helping End ‘Too Big to Fail’ WSJ

US – Big Banks Face Another Round of Charges NYT


REAL ESTATE

US – Homes: Builders Offer Freebies as Markets Cool B

US – Homes: Builders, Economists Still See Mediocre Sales in 2014 wsj *

US – Homes: Tightest Credit Market in 16 Years Rejects Bernanke’s Bid B

US – Homes: CoreLogic Prices up 6.4% cr *

US – Homes: Metropolitan Areas With Rising/Declining MoM Prices / b *

US – Homes: Prices Are Now Just 6.4% Below All-Time High wsj *

US – Apartments: Vacancies Rise for First Time Since 2009 B / WSJ / cd *

US – Malls: Rental Rates Rise; Vacancy Flat WSJ

US – Office: Sector Plods Ahead WSJ

US – Office: Manhattan Leasing Heats Up WSJ *

US – AIA: Architecture Billings Exhibits Continued Strength / cr *

US – Policy: Altoona tries the land value tax FT * *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Auto – US Fuel Economy Gains Poised to Slow WSJ *


COMMODITIES

Cocoa – Nestle Bears Buy Ebola Cover Amid Spike in Prices B

Coffee – Brazil drought drives up prices FT / B / WSJ *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

NatGas – Ukraine sanctions diverting Russian gas to China N *

NatGas – LNG boom fuels Australia hopes FT * *


LABOR & EDUCATION



HEALTH

Ebola – Travel groups resigned to impact on investor confidence FT / WSJ / B / NYT

Ebola – Poses $33b threat to west Africa economy FT *

Ebola – One of several risks facing west Africa FT * *


ENDNOTE

Safest drivers in the US vs *


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