9 May 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Labor

Tesla – Forecast Changes the Trajectory of an Entire Industry
Tesla – Oil Isn’t the Only Threatened Commodity
Oil – Opec Leaves Us Exposed to Shock


MAJOR DATA POINTS

China – Apr: Exports and imports fall; -1.8%, -10.9% / FT / B *

Germany – Mar: Foreign demand boosts factory orders; +1.9% from -0.8% / AFP *


MARKETS

Currencies – Bet On the Aussie Buck Bn *

Currencies – NK Can’t Stamp Out Its Unofficial Economy B *


ECONOMICS

SK – China awash with Korean Wave fever FT * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Jobs Report Makes June Less Likely WSJ / WSJ

Fed – Lift-off sluggish E *

Fed – Trump Says He Would Replace Yellen WSJ / FT

Fed – Lack of conviction reflects negative mood FT *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

US – Early Warning Signs of Recession Flash Faintly in Jobs Data B *

US – Labor-force participation is rising again, at last E *

US – Anemic Wage Growth Restraining Economy WSJ

US – Faces big labor shortage, says business group FT *

US – Can Quick-Service Franchises Digest $15 Minimum Wage? IBD

US – Push for $15 Raises Pay—And Tensions WSJ *

US – Full-Time Hires Buck the Trend at Fast-Food, Retail Chains WSJ *

US – As Oil Rigs Shut Down, Job Pain Spreads Across Cities WSJ

US – Laid-Off Oil Workers Struggle to Pay Loans WSJ *

US – State Laws Against Mandatory Union Fees Are Growing B *

US – Rare Good News on the Retirement Front B *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

Tesla – Forecast Changes the Trajectory of an Entire Industry B * *

Tesla – Inside the Gigafactory That Will Decide Company’s Fate B *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Tesla – Oil Isn’t the Only Threatened Commodity B *

Tesla – Shakes Up Market for Lithium, Other Metals WSJ *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Opec Leaves Us Exposed to Shock b *

Oil – Canada’s wildfires could blaze for months FT / R / WSJ / G&M *

Oil – New Saudi era ignites old questions FT / WSJ / B *

Oil – China Imports Rise as Teapot Refinery Demand Overwhelms Port B *

Oil – Discoveries slump to 60-year low FT

Oil – Billionaire’s Bargain Reveals Risks for Creditors B *

Oil – Large-Company Bankruptcies at Highest Level Since 2009 / b *

Oil – Drillers dig for the bottom for rig counts R / npr *

Oil – Rally May Boost Allure of Drilled-But-Uncompleted Wells B *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

“Obviously not a bubble” twitter *


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