9 January 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Economy

US – The Economics (and Nostalgia) of Dead Malls
Retail – Stores had a better-than-expected holiday season
Dairy – Americans consuming less milk, more cheese


MAJOR DATA POINTS

China – Dec: CPI Ticks Up; 1.5% from 1.4% / WSJ / NYT / AP / X / b *

China – Dec: PPI Deflation Deepens on Commodity Price Fall; -3.3% from -2.7% / B / FT / X / b *

US – Dec: Economy Added Jobs; +252k from +353k / NYT / B / FT / AP / WSJ *

US – Dec: Unemployment falls; 5.6% from 5.8% / R *


MARKETS

Bonds – Headwinds to slow US high-yield debt sales FT * *

Bonds – Which Countries Should Fear a Rate Ruckus? cfr *


ECONOMICS

US – Growth is likely to be robust in 2015 E *

US – Economy’s Promises, and Perils, of 2015 WSJ *

US – Overseas Headwinds Test Economy WSJ * * * *

US – Debt-Cutting Levels Off WSJ / B *

US – Current Economic Cycle Poised to Be Longer Than Average b *

US – Basic Costs Squeeze Families WSJ *

US – Businesses See Revenues, Employment Growing in 2015, ISM Says wsj *

US – ‘Era of austerity may finally have ended’ ft *

US – Philly Fed Coincident Indexes increased in 44 states cr *

US – Average household income / motw *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE

US – Car Loans See Rise In Missed Payments WSJ *

US – Sector valuations say something about low investor expectations FT *

US – Shadow Banking Shows Fed’s Regulatory Limits WSJ *

US – Bank Bailouts Approach a Final Reckoning WSJ *

US – How a Memo Cost Big Banks $37b WSJ * *


REAL ESTATE

US – Home prices coasting upward in November AP / cr *

US – Housing Market Enters 2015 Facing Affordability Pressures WSJ

US – Will household formation growth finally accelerate in 2015? ft / B * *

US – Eight Cities Where Home Prices Are Setting New Records wsj *

US – Oil’s Plunge Is Pushing Mortgage Rates Down wsj *

US – Average Time to Build a House: 6 Months WSJ *

US – Reis Apartment Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q4 at 4.2% / cr *

US – Smaller Cities Led Way in Rent Increases in 2014 WSJ *

US – Why Apartment-Rent Gains Could Begin To Slow Down wsj * *

US – Architecture billings slow / cr *

US – Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declined in Q4 to 16.7% / cr *

US – Office Market Sees Tepid Recovery WSJ *

US – Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rate Increased / cr *

US – The Economics (and Nostalgia) of Dead Malls NYT *

US – Construction Costs Rising as Economy Improves wsj *


SERVICES

Retail – Stores had a better-than-expected holiday season AP / R / R


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Auto – In Low Gasoline Prices, an Opening Emerges for Higher US Taxes WSJ * *


COMMODITIES

Dairy – Factory Gears Up for Production WSJ *

Dairy – Americans consuming less milk, more cheese wapo *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

NatGas – Market is Ice Cold WSJ *


LABOR & EDUCATION



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Americans really are unusually cheerful wapo *


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