8 March 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Metals

Japan – The $5t Quandary as Negative-Yielding Debt Doubles
Japan – Shrinking Economy Threatens Abe’s Political Goals
Shale – Boom More Resilient Than the US Government Thought


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Q4: GDP revised up; -1.1% was -1.4% / R / FT

China – Feb: Exports plunge fastest since 2009; -25.4% from -11.2% / FT / WSJ

US – Feb: NFIB Small Business Index decreased; 92.9 from 93.9 / cr


MARKETS

Japan – Global Pressure Mean Few Options to Weaken Yen WSJ *

Japan – The Government Gets Paid to Borrow Money WSJ / FT *

Japan – Long-term bonds set new record lows FT *

Japan – The $5t Quandary as Negative-Yielding Debt Doubles B * *


ECONOMICS

Japan – Tucking 10,000-Yen Bills Under the Mattress Spells Worry for Abe B *

Japan – Snapping Up Safes to Stash Cash WSJ *

Japan – Department stores bask in glow of negative rates policy FT *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Japan – Shrinking Economy Threatens Abe’s Political Goals WSJ *


MONETARY POLICY

BOJ – Abe board choice signals determination on stimulus FT


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

Japan – Population fell nearly 1m in 2010-15 AP


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH

China – US Disrupts Technology Plans WSJ / R / WSJ *

China – ZTE Restrictions Bad News for US Tech Suppliers WSJ

China – ZTE’s Smartphone Ambitions Run Into US Trade Restrictions WSJ *


TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Metals – Prices signal market bottom FT *

Metals – Glencore Lost $5b in 2015 WSJ *

Metals – Port Sale Highlights Western Australia’s Sinking Fortunes WSJ *

Gold – Price hits 13-month high FT *

Gold – Becomes the Biggest Winner of 2016 B *

Iron – Jumps by record 19% on China stimulus hopes FT *

Iron – Soars on Expectation of China Stimulus WSJ *

Iron – Price Surge Unprecedented / B *

Iron – China Will Make Sure Rebound Won’t Last WSJ *

Iron – Miner Alliance Keeps Ore Going WSJ / B * *

Iron – The Theory That Flower Power Helped Fuel Massive Rally B *

Copper – Skeptics Boost Bearish Wagers, Defying Rally for Prices B / FT *

Copper – Bears Turn Into Bulls Before Prices Rally Most Since 2011 B *

Zinc – Rallies 25% after falling in January FT

Nickel – Can’t Find a Silver Lining WSJ *

Aluminum – Autos shed weight B * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Shale – Boom More Resilient Than the US Government Thought B *

Shale – OK Puts Limits on Wells to Fight Quakes NYT


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

If Mexico says no, there’s always Australia… dm *


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