6 July 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Brexit Fallout



MAJOR DATA POINTS

Germany – May: Factory Orders Failed to Rise; flat from -1.9% / B

US – Jun: Trade Gap Widened 10.2%; exports -0.2%, imports +1.6% / WSJ / R

US – Jun: ISM Services Jumps; 56.5 from 52.9 / B


MARKETS

Pound – Sinks to new 31-year low WSJ *


ECONOMICS

EU – Companies a fading force in global business E *

EU – Greece’s depression is forcing dis-saving on an epic scale FT *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Brexit – May takes strong lead in race to be next UK PM FT / WSJ *

Brexit – Businesses prepare legal challenge FT

Brexit – Parties plunge into crises of leadership E / FT *

Brexit – Vote Rattles Companies Across Europe WSJ

Brexit – UK companies expected to cut dividends in wake of vote FT *

Brexit – Scotland wants to stay in the EU FT *

Brexit – Touches a nerve in France FT *

Brexit – Hollande’s approval rating lowest ever / TNS Sofres * *

Brexit – Will cause soul searching across the continent E *

Brexit – How vulnerable is the US to fallout? FT *

Brexit – What it means for Asian integration N *


MONETARY POLICY

BOE – Hints at Summer Rate Cut WSJ / FT / FT *

ECB – Equities aren’t cheering balance sheet record / t *

ECB – Under pressure as negative yields advance / b *

ECB – Quietly Tweaking QE B * *


FINANCE

UK – BOE tells banks to cut buffer to boost lending FT / WSJ / R *

EU – Brexit and the City: Europe plots a bank heist FT / NYT *

EU – Berlin bids to replace London as fintech capital FT *

EU – Brexit Puts Financial Clearing Work Up for Grabs B *

EU – Battle lines drawn over London’s role in euro clearing FT * *

EU – Bad Debt Piled in Italian Banks Looms as Next Crisis WSJ *

EU – Italy to defy Brussels and bail out troubled banks FT / FT *


REAL ESTATE

UK – Aviva second property fund to halt redemptions FT / WSJ / FT * *

UK – Property funds better placed to weather storm than in 2007 FT * *

UK – London Office Landlords Look Oversold WSJ *

UK – Vote Casts Shadow Over Banks’ Construction Boom in London WSJ *

Ireland – Will Real-Estate Rush Fizzle? WSJ / WSJ / WSJ / WSJ

Spain – May Shatter British Dream of a Vacation Home B *

US – Brexit to take toll on FL vacation homes R *


LABOR & EDUCATION

EU – Germany Puts Migration-Related Costs at Over $86b WSJ

EU – Spain Runs Out of Workers With 5m Unemployed B *

EU – Population Shifts / Atlantic *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

EU/Canada – Juncker to give way on trade plan FT / WSJ / FT *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Photos taken by locals and tourists in Paris motw *


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