30 November 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Retail

Russia – The $30 Oil Cliff Threatening the Economy
US – Chinese Cash Floods Real Estate Market
Beef – Fattest-Ever US Herd Signals End to Record Prices


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Oct: Factory output rose; +1.4% / AFP / AP

EZ – Nov: Confidence at Four-Year High; 106.1 from 105.9 / B *

Germany – Dec: GfK consumer index drops a fourth month; 9.3 from 9.4 / AP / AFP

Greece – Q3: Economy shrank more than thought; -0.9% was -0.5% / AFP

US – Oct: Pending Home Sales Edge Up; +0.2% from -1.6% / WSJ / R


MARKETS

Currencies – IMF poised to admit renminbi FT / WSJ / R / B / WSJ *

Currencies – Panda bonds triumph over dim sum debt FT * *

Currencies – What are the chances of a crisis in China? ft *

Currencies – Investors Dig for Winners WSJ *

Currencies – Dollar-peg exporters stung by oil rout FT *

Currencies – Will the Euro Fall to $1? WSJ *

Currencies – Expensive Swiss franc tests central bank FT *


ECONOMICS



POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Russia – Retaliates against Turkey FT / WSJ / AP / R / WSJ / WSJ *

Russia – Putin’s sanctions decree raises fears of isolationism FT / B / WSJ

Russia – ‘Why Moscow and Turkey aren’t going to war’ bi *

Russia – Ukraine imposes economic blockade on Crimea FT / WSJ / FT / NYT

Russia – Ukraine stops buying gas AP

Russia – Ukraine bans aircraft overflights FT

Russia – Ukraine adapts trade links to soften economic blow FT * *

Russia – Eastern Europe to confront Berlin over new gas pipeline FT *

Russia – The $30 Oil Cliff Threatening the Economy B *

Russia – Last year’s investment pariah comes in from the cold R

Russia – Half Richest Are Planning to Cash Out B *


MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE



REAL ESTATE

US – Chinese Cash Floods Market NYT *

US – Chinese Pull Back WSJ *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Retail – Crowds ‘good not great’ R / B / FT / WSJ *

Retail – Online Shopping Tops Stores WSJ / R / B / ft * *

Retail – Black Friday Falters as Consumer Behaviors Change NYT / NYT *

Retail – Sting from inventory mismanagement is sharp FT / FT *

Retail – Some Malls Pressure Stores to Open on Thanksgiving WSJ *

Retail – Shrinking US Shopping Malls Get Makeovers WSJ *


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Beef – Fattest-Ever US Herd Signals End to Record Prices B *

Beef – Chinese-Korean venture to mass-produce cloned cattle FT / FT *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Carbon – Talks Face High Barriers and High Hopes WSJ *

Carbon – Modi tells rich nations of their duty to lead FT / ft / FT * *

Carbon – China claims to have achieved targets FT / FT / B * *

Carbon – Xi says climate deal must address economic gaps R

Carbon – ‘China’s Rebalancing May Blow Its Smog Away’ B *

Carbon – Scientists Dispute 2-Degree Model Guiding Talks WSJ / WSJ *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Some corporations worth more than entire stock markets bi *


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