30 June 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Oil



MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – May: Industrial Production Drops; -2.3% from +0.5% / B / AFP
EZ – Jun: Inflation rises; +0.1% from -0.1% / eu *
US – Week: Jobless claims rise; +10k to 268k / R


MARKETS



ECONOMICS

US – Yellen warns on poor productivity FT / B *

US – IMF sees economy in ‘good shape’ R / FT

US – Cheap Fuel Puts $20b in Pockets, AAA Says / B * *

US – Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes Increased in 38 States cr *

US – The Upper Middle Class Is Larger Than Ever WSJ / WSJ *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Brexit – FTSE 100 is back above last Thursday’s close WSJ *

Brexit – Stocks Rebound, but Jitters Linger WSJ *

Brexit – Models for the UK’s Future BW *

Brexit – Political contagion risk minimal: Eurasia Group / eg *


MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE

US – Fed Stress Tests Clear 31 of 33 Big Banks WSJ *

US – Morgan Stanley Must Resubmit Capital Plan / B * * *

US – EU banks face new challenge FT *


REAL ESTATE

US – Rents Are Booming, But for How Long? WSJ

US – Dying Shopping Malls Have Billions in Debt Coming Due B *

US – Behind those Amazon boxes, a bull market in warehouses R

US – AIA Architecture Billings Index increased cr *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Auto – US Vehicle Miles Driven increase / cr *

Truck – ATA Index increases / cr *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Inventories streak of declines most in a year / b *

Oil – Market: New Saudi minister signals end to glut FT

Oil – Market: Saudis May Have Called the End of the Glut Too Early / b *

Oil – Majors: In traditional markets despite renewables pressure FT *

Oil – Canada: Output Poised to Fall for First Time in 7 Years B *

Oil – Canada: Sands to dominate output growth to 2030 / b *

Oil – Nigeria: Output has been cut by a third; it may get worse E *

Oil – Russia: Company Is for Sale, Again NYT

Oil – Gulf of Mexico: Companies Crank Up Production WSJ *

Oil – US: Explorers take pause for the first time this month / b *

Oil – US: Obama Fracking Rules Struck Down WSJ / NYT / FT / R

Oil – US: The Rotten State of the Strategic Reserve BW *

Oil – US Demand: Record guzzling fails to dent inventories FT

Oil – China Demand: Imports of Russian crude reach a record / b *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

US religious groups and their political leanings pew *


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