25 January 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Economy



MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – 2015: Trade deficit narrows as oil prices tumble; -78% / AFP / AP

Russia – 2015: Worst year since global financial crisis; -3.7% from +0.6% / AP / AFP

Germany – Jan: Ifo business confidence hits 11-month low; 107.3 from 108.6 / AFP / m *


MARKETS

World – Shareholders Have $27t Locked in Bear Markets B *

World – Battered EMs Race to Stem Outflows WSJ *

World – EMs stressed debt reaches record levels FT *

World – Core inflation nears post-millennium high FT * *


ECONOMICS

US – Deeper Dive Shows Recession Alert Mute B *

US – Recession Warnings May Not Come to Pass WSJ *

US – Global Malaise Spurs Growth Worries WSJ *

US – Economic Growth Cracking B * *

US – RBS: The chance of an imminent recession is 75% bi *

US – Growth and Employment Data Tell Different Stories NYT *

US – Industry weighed down by dollar and oil FT / NYT * *

US – Market Is Flashing an Inflation Warning Sign WSJ *

US – What’s Wrong With The PPI? Rent Is Too Damn High wsj *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

World – Inflation Lows Vex Central Bankers WSJ *

Fed – Talk of ‘policy error’ grows FT / wsj * *


FINANCE

US – The good times are ending before they had really begun E *


REAL ESTATE

US – Home Sizes Expand, Along With Prices WSJ

US – Hope for First-Time Home Buyers B *

US – New Homes Make Room for Airbnb Crowd WSJ

US – Hotels Ramp Up Deal Making as an Antidote to Airbnb WSJ

US – Negative Equity Hits One in Five in MD / B *

US – Home cost as % of income is 20%; NJ at 26% / B *

US – Apartment Markets Recede: NMHC cr *

US – AIA billings edge up / cr *


LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

eTaxi – SF’s Biggest Taxi Operator Files Chapter 11 WSJ

eTaxi – Uber dismisses Chinese rival Didi over subsidies FT

eTaxi – Uber pushes into public transit R


COMMODITIES

Diamonds – De Beers looks to bring clarity to market FT

Diamonds – Miners face more price cuts in 2016 FT

Diamonds – Too much supply and too little demand FT *

Gemstones – Mining Company Strives to Spark Dazzling Demand WSJ *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Parliament of Übermensch e *


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