2 November 2015



Today’s Issue Cluster: Health Insurance

Retail – Consumers may have extra money, but they’re not spending it
EMs – Currencies Rallied in October; Debt pile starts to shrink
BOJ – Reruns inflation downgrade script


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Oct: Manufacturing PMI hits one-year high; 52.4 from 51.0 / R

China – Oct: Official PMI unchanged shrinks for third month; 49.8 / R / WSJ / FT / B / AP

China – Oct: Caixin factory PMI shrinks at slower pace; 48.3 from 47.2 / R / B / WSJ

US – Oct: ISM manufacturing sector growth slows; 50.1 from 50.2 / R / WSJ


MARKETS

EMs – Currencies Rallied in October WSJ

EMs – Debt pile starts to shrink FT * *

EMs – Asian stocks extend dominance of index FT * * * *

EMs – Is growth slowdown stabilizing? FT * *


ECONOMICS

SK – As China Cools, Exporters Feel Chill WSJ *

SK – Seoul’s Warming Ties With China Isolate NK WSJ *

NK – Cash Crunch Hits Elite WSJ *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY

Turkey – Ruling AKP Regains Parliamentary Majority WSJ / FT / R / WSJ *

Turkey – Election Only Answers One Question for Investors WSJ / B *

Turkey – Erdogan sweeps to victory FT / FT *

Turkey – Erdogan kicks off coalition talks FT / WSJ *

Pakistan – Disdain over IMF’s rosy view FT * *

Pakistan – Lower oil prices prove to be a boon E *

Kazakhstan – Faces oil dilemma as prices plunge FT * *

Central Asia – After the strongmen FT * *


MONETARY POLICY

BOJ – Fears Overstimulation WSJ / WSJ / NYT *

BOJ – Holds course despite deepening gloom FT / B / FT *

BOJ – Reruns inflation downgrade script r * *


FINANCE

US – Banks face $120b shortfall under Federal Reserve plan FT / R / B

US – Fed Rule Would Ease Strain From Dying Banks NYT / AP / WSJ

EU – ECB says Greece’s banks need €14b FT / WSJ / NYT / R / FT *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Retail – Consumers may have extra money, but they’re not spending it B *

Retail – QVC: The unlikely juggernaut of mobile shopping WaPo

Retail – Wal-Mart Shrinks the Big Box, Vexing Vendors WSJ *


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

NatGas – Crashes to lowest level since 2012 FT / FT *

NatGas – Hopes for Golden Age Evaporate WSJ *


HEALTH

Insurance – Health Law’s Strains Show WSJ *

Insurance – Businesses, Patients Feel Marketplaces’ Ripple Effect WSJ *

Insurance – ObamaCare Rates Rise WSJ / IBD *

Insurance – More Health Co-ops Face Collapse WSJ / NYT

Insurance – Health Care Companies in Merger Frenzy NYT

Insurance – Health Care Now Relatively Cheap B *


ENDNOTE

15 largest marathons b *


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