16 February 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Oil

World – Gold bugs prosper in negative yielding world
F&B – China Embraces Craft Beers, and Giants Take Notice
World – Markets Putting Faith in QE4?


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Q4: Economy Contracts Again; -1.4% from +1.3% / R / FT / WSJ / B / AP

China – Jan: Exports Drop; -11.2% from -1.4% / B / WSJ / FT

Thailand – Q4: Economy Gets Government Spending Boost; +3.8% / B

US – Feb: NAHB Homebuilder Confidence Declines to Nine-Month Low; 58 from 61 / B


MARKETS

World – FX unmoved by negative interest rates FT *

World – Gold bugs prosper in negative yielding world FT *

World – Five Countries Being Squeezed by Currency Pegs B *


ECONOMICS

World – Risk Grows of Markets Sparking Recession WSJ *

World – Economists, CEOs: Recession Risk Rising WSJ *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

World – Markets Putting Faith in QE4? WSJ *

World – ‘Turning Japanese’ / vc *

World – Slaves of the markets e *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

F&B – Cocktails Sip Away at Beer’s Market Share WSJ *

F&B – China Embraces Craft Beers, and Giants Take Notice NYT

F&B – Will Megabrew Deal Usher In A New Era For Beer? IBD

F&B – Champagne sales set for record year R

F&B – Craft Breweries / statista *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Sugar – Asian nations get sweet on soda taxes FT * *

Sugar – Cameron to scrap tax plans FT


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Iran still an obstacle to output freeze R / FT / WSJ / AP / NYT / B *

Oil – Putin’s Reward for Deal Overshadowed by Risks B / B *

Oil – More Cuts Loom as Price Nears $25 WSJ *

Oil – IEA Warns Prices Could Fall Further WSJ / R / B * *

Oil – What Storage Signals Mean for Prices WSJ *

Oil – US stocks top 500m barrels for first time since 1930 cr *

Oil – How Much Output Halted Due to Low Prices? Just 0.1% B *

Oil – Here Comes $20 Bn *

Oil – Iran Sending Crude to EU in Bid to Regain Lost Market B / WSJ *

Oil – North Sea companies in danger amid debt spillage FT *

Oil – Declining Chinese Production Good for Prices WSJ *

Oil – China Turns a Glut Into a Flood of Diesel B *

Oil – Break-even model: Cracking the shale enigma B *

Oil – Tumbling gas price blows hole in UK shale industry’s ambitions FT *

Oil – Business model under increasing pressure FT *

Oil – ‘The Cheap Date From Hell’ BW *

Oil – BP offers positive outlook driven by surge in demand FT * *

Oil – EMs now account for the majority of global consumption WSJ *

Oil – Fuel Demand Is Poised to Melt Away B *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Oil is Dirt Cheap … Literally vc *


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