14 January 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Currencies

Japan – Foreigners Get It Wrong on Stocks
Cocoa – 2015?s Best Commodity Could Turn Into This Year’s Nightmare
Oil – Market’s Last Bastion of Strength Is Now Crashing


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Germany – 2015: Economy notches up consistent growth; +1.7% from +1.6% / AFP

US – Dec: Import prices plunge on lower petroleum costs; -1.2% from -0.5% / R / WSJ

US – Week: Jobless claims rise; +7k to 284k / R / B / WSJ


MARKETS

Currencies – Dollar’s ascent enters autopilot mode FT *

Currencies – Devaluations by Asian Tigers Could Hinder Global Growth NYT

Currencies – Rash of devaluations turns spotlight on Nigeria and the Gulf FT *

Currencies – Rand has lost 30% of its value WSJ

Currencies – Year’s Worst-Hit Currencies Recover B *

Currencies – Yuan Falls Sharply in Offshore Market WSJ *

Currencies – Renminbi borrowing rate plunges in HK FT *

Currencies – Behind Yuan’s Tiny Drop, Indications of True Crisis Lurk B *

Currencies – The renminbi should keep falling FT *

Currencies – Bets Against Yuan Face Rocky Road WSJ

Currencies – Weakness Has a Smaller Effect on Exports WSJ *


ECONOMICS

Japan – Years of falling prices have scarred the economy FT *

Japan – Foreigners Get It Wrong on Stocks B * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

BOJ – What Happens When Japan Runs Out of Bonds to Buy? WSJ *


FINANCE

Japan – Banks Step Up Foreign M&A Lending WSJ *


REAL ESTATE

Japan – Tokyo property: bargain basement FT


LABOR & EDUCATION

Japan – Profits Surge, but Not Wages WSJ *

Japan – ‘Off-message Abe needs to get back on track’ FT *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Cocoa – Prices Off to a Bad Start in 2016 WSJ

Cocoa – 2015’s Best Commodity Could Turn Into This Year’s Nightmare B *

Cocoa – Price Fall Coincides With Ramp Up in LatAm Supply B *

Cocoa – Chocolate Makers Fight a Melting Supply WSJ * * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – US crude dips below $30 FT / WSJ * *

Oil – $20 Doesn’t Sound So Crazy Anymore B *

Oil – Crude at $10 Already a Reality for Oil Sands / b *

Oil – The Real Price Is Far Lower B *

Oil – Delayed projects total nears $400b FT / FT * * *

Oil – China Drinks Up Crude Then Spits It Out WSJ *

Oil – Market’s Last Bastion of Strength Is Now Crashing B *

Oil – Could Saudi Aramco Be Worth 20 Times Exxon? WSJ / FT * * *

Oil – Saudi Aramco: Bigger Oil, Bigger Trouble WSJ *

Oil – Aramco IPO could mark the end of the post-war order E * *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The Best and Worst States for Powerball Winners B *


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