11 January 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: US Labor

Insurance – Bracing for the Self-Driving Future and Fewer Accidents
Travel – Cruise Industry’s Big Three Could Steam to 20% Gains
Crops – Unwanted Piles of Corn, Soy Spur Most-Bearish Outlook Ever


MAJOR DATA POINTS

China – Dec: CPI muted; 1.6% from 1.5% / FT / WSJ / R

US – Nov: Consumer Borrowing Rises at Slowest Pace in 10 Months; +$14.0b from +$15.6b B *


MARKETS

EMs – Cutting a Path Through Turmoil WSJ *


ECONOMICS

EMs – Coming under ‘even more pressure’ FT * * * *

EMs – A world without an engine N * *

EMs – Demographic dynamics reshaping emerging Asia N *

World – World Bank Cuts Growth Forecasts B * *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

Fed – Robust Job Gains Should Reassure Officials to Continue Increases WSJ / R

Fed – Dilemma: Jobs vs. China WSJ *

Fed – Fed to raise rates again in March: Reuters poll / R *

Fed – Probability of March Fed Rate Hike Declines / b *


FINANCE

Insurance – Insurers Find Tracking Devices Are a Tough Sell WSJ * *

Insurance – Bracing for the Self-Driving Future and Fewer Accidents NYT

Insurance – Natural catastrophe losses total $90b in 2015: Munich Re AFP *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION

US – Jobs growth defies global pressures FT

US – How Much Slack Is Left in the Labor Market B * *

US – Payrolls in 2015 slower than 2014 / r *

US – Lower Jobless Claims Don’t Point to Robust Labor Market WSJ * *

US – Lincoln’s sub-3% jobless rate keeps companies on hunt for talent WSJ *

US – Job Growth Seen as Anemic as Workforce Ages WSJ

US – Im­mig­rants make up 17% of the work­force NJ *

US – A Rising Share of Working Women Have Full-Time Jobs wsj *

US – Digital advances uneven across economy FT *

US – ‘As the Gig Economy Changes Work, So Should Rules’ WSJ *


SERVICES



MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Travel – Cruise Industry’s Big Three Could Steam to 20% Gains Bn *

Travel – Global ocean cruise passengers / ft *

Travel – US Hotels: 2015 is Best Year on Record / cr *


COMMODITIES

Crops – Unwanted Piles of Corn, Soy Spur Most-Bearish Outlook Ever B * *

Crops – Reforms drive Argentine grain export revival FT * * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

The book really is better than the movie wapo *


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