1 August 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Oil



MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Jul: Factory activity shrinks for fifth month; 49.3 from 48.1 / R

China – Jul: Official manufacturing PMI contracts; 49.9 from 50.0 / R

China – Jul: Caixin manufacturing PMI jumps; 50.6 from 48.6 / B / WSJ

US – Jul: ISM Manufacturing Growth Cooled; 52.6 from 53.2 / B

US – Jun: Construction spending declines; -0.6% from -0.1% / MW


MARKETS

World – Governments Enjoy a Windfall in Low Borrowing Costs WSJ *

World – Negative yielding credits is growing fast / t *


ECONOMICS

World – GDP forecasts for 2016 / E *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY

World – Timid BOJ Move Raises Alarm for Other Economies WSJ

World – Size of BOJ, ECB Balance Sheets Approaching the Fed’s / b *

World – Global QE has never been greater r *


FINANCE



REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES

Prisons – Boot Camps Find Their Time Running Out WSJ *

Prisons – US Population Is Falling B *


MANUFACTURING



TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION



COMMODITIES

Crops – It’s Not Easy Being Grains B *

Crops – World grain glut set to enter fourth year / FT *

Crops – Grain Stocks Growing High as an Elephants Eye IBD

Crops – Craft beer boom sends US to top of global hop charts FT * *


ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT

Oil – Market: This Glut’s Days Are Numbered b *

Oil – Market: Rally to resume later this year, demand to offset glut: poll R

Oil – Majors: Low Prices Hammer Companies WSJ / FT / NYT / B * *

Oil – Majors: Capex has plunged to $410b / b *

Oil – Inventories: No universal requirement on reporting WSJ *

Oil – North Sea: Shell Workers Threaten to Strike NYT

Oil – US: Firms Keep Cutting Jobs WSJ

Oil – Iraq: Islamic State Strikes Facilities WSJ

Oil – Iraq: Islamic State’s revenue dives as it loses territory R *

Oil – Iran: Crude Flows But The Money’s Stuck B *

Oil – Libya: Preparing to Export More After Deal Unblocks Ports WSJ

Oil – Kazakhstan: Acts after Romania blocks deal FT

Oil – Russia: Goldman’s Hopeful Call b

Oil – Russia: Output Rises Amid Arctic Circle Surge / b *

Oil – Market: Glut Shows Investors There’s Nowhere to Go But Down B *

Oil – Market: Supertankers turn UK into center of glut FT

Oil – Sand: The Industry’s Bellwether WSJ *


HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Abenomics lifts ‘quadrillion’ into the lexicon e * * *


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