1 April 2016



Today’s Issue Cluster: Autos

US – The Manufacturing Recession Might Be Over
US – Millennials and Low-Income Consumers Are Propping Up the Economy
US – BP: Will be energy independent in 5 years


MAJOR DATA POINTS

Japan – Q1: BOJ tankan big manufacturers’ mood down; +6 from +12 / R / FT

China – Mar: Official factory PMI rebounds; 50.2 from 49.0 / FT / WSJ

EZ – Mar: Markit PMI rises; 51.6 from 51.2 / R

US – Mar: Adds jobs; +215k from +245k / FT / WSJ / NYT / B

US – Mar: ISM Manufacturing Index Expands; 51.8 from 49.5 / WSJ

US – Mar: UMich Consumer Sentiment Edges Down; 91.0 from 91.7 / B

US – Feb: Construction spending retreats; -0.5% from +2.1% / AP


MARKETS

Bonds – Investors are bracing for a turbulent second quarter WSJ *

Bonds – Rally in munis drives yield gap to eight-year low B *

Bonds – China’s muni market launches with a bang FT *


ECONOMICS

US – The Manufacturing Recession Might Be Over B / FT *

US – Millennials and Low-Income Consumers Are Propping Up the Economy wsj * *

US – BP: Will be energy independent in 5 years bi *


POLITICS & FISCAL POLICY



MONETARY POLICY



FINANCE

US – MetLife ruling vindicates lonely decision to fight FT / WSJ *

US – GE Capital looks to shed ‘too big to fail’ status FT / B *


REAL ESTATE



LABOR & EDUCATION



SERVICES



MANUFACTURING

Autos – US: Sales Rise, but Big Three Show Weakness WSJ

Autos – US: Used-Car Price Fall Pressures Auto Makers WSJ

Autos – US: Record Vehicle Leasing Could Pinch Margins WSJ *

Autos – US: Sharing Cars Could Actually Boost Sales B *

Autos – US: Parts are a surprising retail success story FT *

Autos – China: Makers May Soon Face Weakening Demand NYT * *

Autos – Japan: Drivers Say ‘No, Thanks’ to Cheaper Gas B *

Autos – SK: Luxury carmakers eye market FT *

Autos – Russia: AvtoVAZ Removes Western CEO WSJ / FT / FT * *

Autos – Tesla: Targets mass market with new Model 3 FT / WSJ / B / NYT / AP / R / FT *

Autos – Tesla: How Uncle Sam May Cause Sticker Shock WSJ / WSJ *

Autos – BYD: China’s Tesla Remains at the Mercy of the State WSJ *

Autos – BMW: Bavarian rhapsody E *

Autos – VW: Will escape its scandal largely unscathed E * *

Autos – VW: Faces $15b hit over US green ad campaign FT / WSJ *

Autos – Diesel: Some Japanese Emissions Higher On the Road Than in Lab WSJ

Autos – Hybrids: China Car Makers Pioneer ‘Mild’ Models WSJ *

Autos – EVs: Here’s One Answer to Lack of Range: Electric Road B * *


TECH



TRADE & TRANSPORTATION

Auto – Vehicle Miles Driven Increase 2.0% / cr *

Truck – ATA Trucking Index increased 7.2% / cr *

Truck – E-Commerce Boom Roils Industry WSJ *


COMMODITIES



ENERGY & ENVIRONMENT



HEALTH



ENDNOTE

Photos taken by locals and tourists in San Francisco motw *


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